According to Coinglass, Bitcoin has experienced double-digit gains in eight out of the past twelve Februaries since 2013, with an average increase of 15.6% for the month. Notably, only in 2014 and 2020 did February see declines, while the asset was stable in 2018 and 2023 during bear markets. February 2013 marked the highest gain with a 62% surge, followed by 2024, which saw a 43.5% increase, moving from $42,580 to $62,560.
In February of the years 2016, 2017, and 2021, Bitcoin also saw substantial gains ranging from 20% to 37%. The year 2025, being a post-halving year, might continue this trend of positive price action. Should Bitcoin achieve the average performance from the past twelve years next month, it could potentially reach a minimum value of $118,000.
Meanwhile, March has generally been favorable for Bitcoin, especially with gains in five out of six months since 2019. Conversely, January has historically shown mixed results, with nearly an equal number of gains and losses. Currently, Bitcoin is up about 8.5% for the month, trading at approximately $103,000 after briefly dipping to $98,000, surpassing the January average of 3.7%.
For Ethereum, February has shown an average increase of 17% since 2017, with the past six years consistently seeing price jumps. The most significant gain occurred in 2024 when ETH rose over 46%, moving from $2,280 to $3,380 by the end of the month. March has also been favorable for Ethereum, but this January is likely to be the fourth to record a decline, with the price down by over 5% to around $3,200. If Ethereum matches its average February performance, prices could rise to $3,750, while a repeat of February 2024’s performance might see it surge to $4,700.
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