Renowned macroeconomist Lyn Alden is optimistic about Bitcoin’s trajectory, predicting its value will surpass its current standing of roughly $85,000 by the end of 2025. In a recent discussion with Natalie Brunell for Coin Stories on April 17, Alden shared her insights amid a changing economic landscape. Although her initial forecasts were even more bullish, the imposition of tariffs in February has slightly dampened her outlook, yet she remains confident in Bitcoin’s potential for growth.
### Lyn Alden Believes in Bitcoin’s Bright Future Despite Economic Challenges
Alden elaborated on how a significant influx of liquidity could steer Bitcoin towards loftier goals. This situation could unfold if the U.S. bond market encounters a crisis, possibly leading the Federal Reserve to implement measures like quantitative easing or yield curve control. Despite facing macroeconomic headwinds, Alden sees a “good chance” for Bitcoin to break the $100,000 barrier by 2025. However, she cautioned that global market volatility poses a substantial risk, especially given Bitcoin’s 24/7 trading cycle, which makes it highly reactive to immediate market sentiments.
Alden also noted Bitcoin’s occasional decoupling from tech-heavy indices such as the Nasdaq 100, suggesting that in periods of broader market downturns not directly affecting global liquidity, Bitcoin could perform well. This was likened to the period between 2003 and 2007, when a weak dollar encouraged investments in commodities, emerging markets, and gold rather than U.S. stocks, potentially setting a precedent for Bitcoin’s favorable conditions in similar scenarios.
In a previous report, Alden highlighted Bitcoin as a “Global Liquidity Barometer,” moving in tandem with the global M2 money supply 83% of the time over any given 12-month period.
### Bitcoin’s Path Ahead: Cautious Optimism Amidst Bullish Predictions
According to 10x Research, Bitcoin may be entering a phase of extended consolidation, despite optimistic predictions from many corners of the financial analysis world. Markus Thielen, head of research at 10x Research, has indicated that short-term technical indicators, such as the stochastic oscillator, suggest a market that resembles a late-cycle peak rather than the dawn of a new bull run. While caution is advised, other experts like Timothy Peterson and Jamie Coutts believe Bitcoin could reach new heights in the second quarter.
Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer, Matt Hougan, also remains bullish, reiterating his prediction from December that Bitcoin could climb to $200,000 by the end of 2025. Hougan argues that recent shifts in U.S. trade policy, especially with the return of tariffs under former President Donald Trump, could provide additional momentum for Bitcoin.
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